Past election cycles
Australian federal opinion polling set against history: every election cycle's polling charted month by month, beside the result the campaign ended in. The current campaign is on the front page.
Election results
Federal election results, 1972–2025 – the base today's polls are measured against, and the final reading of each past cycle's charts.
| Election | Won by | ALP 2PP | L/NP 2PP |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1972 | Labor | 52.7% | 47.3% |
| 1974 | Labor | 51.7% | 48.3% |
| 1975 | Coalition | 44.3% | 55.7% |
| 1977 | Coalition | 45.4% | 54.6% |
| 1980 | Coalition | 49.6% | 50.4% |
| 1983 | Labor | 53.2% | 46.8% |
| 1984 | Labor | 51.8% | 48.2% |
| 1987 | Labor | 50.8% | 49.2% |
| 1990 | Coalition | 49.9% | 50.1% |
| 1993 | Labor | 51.4% | 48.6% |
| 1996 | Coalition | 46.4% | 53.6% |
| 1998 | Labor | 51.0% | 49.0% |
| 2001 | Coalition | 49.0% | 51.0% |
| 2004 | Coalition | 47.3% | 52.7% |
| 2007 | Labor | 52.7% | 47.3% |
| 2010 | Labor | 50.1% | 49.9% |
| 2013 | Coalition | 46.5% | 53.5% |
| 2016 | Coalition | 49.6% | 50.4% |
| 2019 | Coalition | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| 2022 | Labor | 52.1% | 47.9% |
| 2025 | Labor | 55.2% | 44.8% |
How the final polls did
Measured against the 18 elections from 1974 to 2025, the final published polls missed the two-party result by 1.4 points on average – at 1984 by 3.2, with every house on the same side of it. The full record, house by house and cycle by cycle, is tabled on the live page.
Sources
Roy Morgan, YouGov, Newspoll, RedBridge/Accent, Resolve, Essential, DemosAU, Newspoll (pooled), Freshwater, Spectre Strategy, DemosAU (MRP), Fox & Hedgehog, YouGov (MRP), Wolf & Smith, EMRS (Tas), RedBridge/Accent (MRP), Roy Morgan (SMS), Agenda C Synesis, Roy Morgan (pooled). Field dates and sample sizes are listed per poll in the archive.
auspol tracker is an unofficial aggregator of published federal opinion polling. Best efforts are made to make the aggregate figures transparent, trustworthy, statistically sound, and informative, but they are, in the end, estimates only. Federal polling archives I’ve located are stored here for safekeeping and convenience.