Pollster leans

How each pollster leans: its polls against the other houses polling within weeks of them, pooled with recent polls counting for more, and shrunk toward zero while a house has published few. The aggregate subtracts each lean as it stood at the time. The live page charts every house's lean month by month, on the two-party figure and on each party's primary vote. The latest figures are on the front page.

Sources

Roy Morgan, YouGov, Newspoll, RedBridge/Accent, Resolve, Essential, DemosAU, Newspoll (pooled), Freshwater, Spectre Strategy, DemosAU (MRP), Fox & Hedgehog, YouGov (MRP), Wolf & Smith, EMRS (Tas), RedBridge/Accent (MRP), Roy Morgan (SMS), Agenda C Synesis, Roy Morgan (pooled). Field dates and sample sizes are listed per poll in the archive.

auspol tracker is an unofficial aggregator of published federal opinion polling. Best efforts are made to make the aggregate figures transparent, trustworthy, statistically sound, and informative, but they are, in the end, estimates only. Federal polling archives I’ve located are stored here for safekeeping and convenience.