AE Forecasts poll database

Daniel Hirst's federal voting-intention database, the data behind Australian Election Forecasts: 3,997 polls from 1943 to 2026.

Hirst collects the polls from the pollsters, news media, The Poll Bludger, and Wikipedia, and checks the figures against their original sources where he can, often through the Wayback Machine. Many of the older results, before 2007, were provided by Kevin Bonham, who transcribed the early Morgan polls from paper copies. The table is published in Hirst's aus-polling-analyser repository on GitHub. The copy here is exact, byte for byte, and each refresh takes his latest.

The tracker's Past cycles use it to fill the terms its other sources leave thin, above all Morgan's face-to-face polls before 1986.

Reading the tables

Pollster names are Hirst's own. A number after a name marks a later method (Newspoll2, Newspoll3, YouGov2), and Morgan appears by mode: face to face, phone, multi-mode, or SMS. The date is the middle of each poll's fieldwork. ALP 2PP is Labor's two-party share, first-preference shares follow, and PM approve and disapprove are the prime minister's ratings. A middot marks a figure the table doesn't hold, and a figure stored to many decimal places is shown to one. Each decade shows only the columns its polls use.

The whole table as data: bonham-additional-aeforecasts.csv, with every figure in full and Hirst's own "#N/A" markers. Jump to 2020s, 2010s, 2000s, 1990s, 1980s, 1970s, 1960s, 1950s, 1940s.

Polls by pollster

The polls, newest first

2020s 905 polls